Tennis · M25 Southaven · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Axel Nefve vs Cruz Hewitt
Team pages: Axel Nefve · Cruz Hewitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Axel Nefve
Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Axel Nefve
3-7 (W-L)
Cruz Hewitt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Axel Nefve 1431 · Cruz Hewitt 1498
| Axel Nefve | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Hewitt (rating 1431 vs 1498).
- Note: Axel Nefve makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Axel Nefve | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-13.5 | 9.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 66% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Axel Nefve
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nathan Cox M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/03 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Hunter Heck M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/03 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 10/03 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Cruz Hewitt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/05 | John Sperle M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Isaac Becroft M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Axel Nefve vs Cruz Hewitt?
Our model gives 70% to Cruz Hewitt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.