Tennis · M25 Southaven · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Clement Chidekh vs Naoki Nakagawa
Team pages: Clement Chidekh · Naoki Nakagawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Clement Chidekh
Naoki Nakagawa
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Clement Chidekh
6-4 (W-L)
Naoki Nakagawa
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clement Chidekh
0–1
Naoki Nakagawa
(1 last)
- 21 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clement Chidekh 1528 · Naoki Nakagawa 1565
| Clement Chidekh | Naoki Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Naoki Nakagawa dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Clement Chidekh 0–1 Naoki Nakagawa (1).
Statistics
| Clement Chidekh | Naoki Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.6 | 11-9.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 84.3% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Clement Chidekh 0 – 1 Naoki Nakagawa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clement Chidekh 0–1 Naoki Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/24 Challenger Chicago | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clement Chidekh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | James Trotter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Naoki Nakagawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clement Chidekh vs Naoki Nakagawa?
Our model gives 63% to Clement Chidekh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.