Tennis · M25 Londrina · 04/08, 14:00
Prediction: Andre Souza vs Nicolas Oliveira
Team pages: Nicolas Oliveira
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Souza
Nicolas Oliveira
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Souza
2-8 (W-L)
Nicolas Oliveira
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Souza 1418 · Nicolas Oliveira 1538
| Andre Souza | Nicolas Oliveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Oliveira (rating 1418 vs 1538).
- Nicolas Oliveira is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andre Souza | Nicolas Oliveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.1-11.3 | 12.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Gavin Young M25 San Jose |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Kyle Overmyer M25 San Jose |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 04/12 | Juan Estevez ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Nicolas Oliveira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin A Vergara Del Puerto M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 13/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Salvador Price M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Souza vs Nicolas Oliveira?
Our model gives 79% to Nicolas Oliveira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.