Tennis · M25 Londrina · 04/08, 15:30
Prediction: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Wilson Leite
Team pages: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · Wilson Leite
Prediction summary
Winner
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Wilson Leite
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
7-3 (W-L)
Wilson Leite
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
0–2
Wilson Leite
(2 last)
- 13 Oct0-2 10-13L
- 08 Apr0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1575 · Wilson Leite 1487
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (rating 1575 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0–2 Wilson Leite (2).
Statistics
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.7 | 11.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0 – 2 Wilson Leite (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0–2 Wilson Leite
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/23 ITF M25 Lajeado | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/04/22 UTR Pro Tennis Series Rio de Janeiro | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Wilson Leite
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Filipe Bullamah Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Enzo Lima Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Wilson Leite?
Our model gives 69% to Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.