Tennis · M25 Londrina · 04/08, 19:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
7-3 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1541 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1570
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.6 | 12.8-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Jose Pereira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Bastian Malla M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Andres Urrea Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 67% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.