Tennis · M25 Londrina · 04/08, 14:00
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Juan Sebastian Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
4-6 (W-L)
Juan Sebastian Osorio
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto
1–0
Juan Sebastian Osorio
(1 last)
- 02 Jun2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1482 · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1512
| Rafael Tosetto | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 1–0 Juan Sebastian Osorio (1).
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.6 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 69% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Rafael Tosetto 1 – 0 Juan Sebastian Osorio (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 1–0 Juan Sebastian Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/24 Challenger Santa Fe | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Sao Paulo |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Gustavo Albieri M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Andre Souza Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Luiz Gusavo Felisberto M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Wilson Leite M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Peter Bertran Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?
Our model gives 55% to Juan Sebastian Osorio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.