Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 04/08, 13:30
Prediction: Alex Rybakov vs Matthew Summers
Team pages: Alex Rybakov · Matthew Summers
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Rybakov
Matthew Summers
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Rybakov
6-4 (W-L)
Matthew Summers
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Rybakov 1532 · Matthew Summers 1418
| Alex Rybakov | Matthew Summers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Rybakov (rating 1532 vs 1418).
- Alex Rybakov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alex Rybakov | Matthew Summers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11 | 9.7-12 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Aldershot |
1-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Liam Krall M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Ryan Colby M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Justin Roberts M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Evan Bynoe M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matthew Summers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Ye Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Hyeon Chung M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Cruz Hewitt M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/04 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Rybakov vs Matthew Summers?
Our model gives 71% to Alex Rybakov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.