Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 07/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Tarvet
Team pages: Alex Rybakov · Oliver Tarvet
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Rybakov
Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Rybakov
7-3 (W-L)
Oliver Tarvet
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Rybakov 1561 · Oliver Tarvet 1618
| Alex Rybakov | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1561 vs 1618).
Statistics
| Alex Rybakov | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 2-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.6 | 13.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 78% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Billy Blaydes M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Matthew Summers M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Aldershot |
1-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Liam Krall M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Ryan Colby M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Justin Roberts M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Toby Martin M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ronald Hohmann M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Rahul Dhokia M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 25/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexis Galarneau Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model gives 70% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.