Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 05/08, 11:00

Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Rhys Lawlor

Team pages: Lui Maxted · Rhys Lawlor

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Lui Maxted Rhys Lawlor
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLL
Rhys Lawlor 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1512 · Rhys Lawlor 1491
Lui MaxtedRhys Lawlor
Our model53%47%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Lui Maxted makes many double faults (5.2/match).
  • Note: Rhys Lawlor makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Lui MaxtedRhys Lawlor
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-10.29.1-11.1
Aces2.63.6
Double faults5.25.1
1st serve %66%63.8%
Break %51%35.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lui Maxted

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot
1-2 15-16 L
24/07 Clement Lemire
M15 Rognac
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Louis Larue
M15 Rognac
2-1 16-12 W
20/07 Benjamin Pietri
M15 Rognac
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
06/07 Antoine Ghibaudo
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Nikola Djukic Valera
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/06 Tiago Torres
M25 Porto
0-2 4-12 L
25/06 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Porto
2-0 13-7 W

Rhys Lawlor

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Vincent Fletcher
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
02/08 William Mclennaghan
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 James Story
M25 Aldershot
1-2 13-18 L
13/06 James McCabe
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Anton Matusevich
M25 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L
01/05 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
30/04 Ali Habib
M25 Nottingham
2-1 18-10 W
28/04 Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez
M25 Nottingham
2-0 12-8 W
26/03 Thijs Boogaard
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
28/10 Finn Murgett
M25 Glasgow
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Rhys Lawlor?

Our model gives 70% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.