Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 05/08, 11:00
Prediction: Benjamin Gusic Wan vs Tiago Cacao
Team pages: Benjamin Gusic Wan · Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Gusic Wan
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Gusic Wan
3-7 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Gusic Wan 1447 · Tiago Cacao 1600
| Benjamin Gusic Wan | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Cacao (rating 1447 vs 1600).
- Tiago Cacao is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Gusic Wan makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Gusic Wan | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-10.4 | 13.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Gusic Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Jacopo Denitto M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Christof Schaertlin Coffey M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Peter Alam M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Mert Alkaya M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Gusic Wan vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 79% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.