Tennis · W35 Southaven · 04/08, 19:00
Prediction: Erika Sema vs Maria F Navarro Oliva
Team pages: Erika Sema · Maria F Navarro Oliva
Prediction summary
Winner
Erika Sema
Maria F Navarro Oliva
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Erika Sema
8-2 (W-L)
Maria F Navarro Oliva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erika Sema 1523 · Maria F Navarro Oliva 1450
| Erika Sema | Maria F Navarro Oliva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erika Sema (rating 1523 vs 1450).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Erika Sema | Maria F Navarro Oliva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.5 | 6.4-11 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 49% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Sara Saito W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Kelly Keller W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Avery Alexander W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Naomi Xu W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Saito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Eunhye Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Maria F Navarro Oliva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Alina Granwehr W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Sonia Cassani W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Denisa Zoldakova W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Madelief Hageman W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/03 | Camila Romero W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Carolina Alves W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Milagros Cristobal W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/03 | Kayla Cross W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erika Sema vs Maria F Navarro Oliva?
Our model gives 69% to Erika Sema, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.