Tennis · W35 Southaven · 05/08, 19:00

Prediction: Jo Yee Chan vs Jenna Defalco

Team pages: Jo Yee Chan · Jenna Defalco

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Jo Yee Chan Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jo Yee Chan 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWL
Jenna Defalco 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jo Yee Chan 1547 · Jenna Defalco 1461
Jo Yee ChanJenna Defalco
Our model62%38%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jo Yee Chan (rating 1547 vs 1461).
  • Jo Yee Chan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Jo Yee Chan makes many double faults (5.8/match).
  • Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Jo Yee ChanJenna Defalco
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.8-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-8.510.1-10.2
Aces1.10.4
Double faults5.84.4
1st serve %64.4%57.8%
Break %49.7%38.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jo Yee Chan

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Piper Charney
W35 Florence
0-2 7-13 L
30/07 Kristina Penickova
W35 Florence
2-0 13-6 W
29/07 Lan Mi
W35 Florence
2-0 12-7 W
28/07 Serafima Elizarova
W35 Florence
1-0 6-1 W
23/07 Mayu Crossley
W35 Santa Fe
1-2 12-17 L
21/07 Eunhye Lee
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Dana Guzman
W35 Dallas
0-2 6-12 L
15/07 Eva Oxford
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-1 W
14/07 Sophie Williams
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-3 W
11/07 Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
1-2 15-16 L

Jenna Defalco

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Dalayna Hewitt
W75 Lexington
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Anna Rogers
W100 Evansville
1-2 13-14 L
20/07 Mireya David
W100 Evansville
1-0 6-0 W
29/04 Dayeon Back
W35 Goyang · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/04 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard
0-1 6-7 L
22/04 Shiho Tsujioka
W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
15/04 Hayu Kinoshita
W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
14/04 Honoka Kobayashi
W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
06/04 Hikaru Sato
W35 Osaka
0-2 9-13 L
03/03 Belle Thompson
W35 Launceston
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jo Yee Chan vs Jenna Defalco?

Our model gives 59% to Jo Yee Chan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.