Tennis · M15 Frankfurt · 04/08, 11:30
Prediction: Tim Hammes vs Kaspar Mathes
Team pages: Tim Hammes · Kaspar Mathes
Prediction summary
Winner
Tim Hammes
Kaspar Mathes
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tim Hammes
4-6 (W-L)
Kaspar Mathes
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tim Hammes 1529 · Kaspar Mathes 1406
| Tim Hammes | Kaspar Mathes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tim Hammes (rating 1529 vs 1406).
- Tim Hammes is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tim Hammes | Kaspar Mathes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 8.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tim Hammes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Sidane Pontjodikromo UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Eyal Shumilov UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Oliver Majdandzic M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Felix Einig M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Christopher Thies M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sep De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Kaspar Mathes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Neo Niedner M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Jip Van Assendelft M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dorian Verrue M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Felix Einig M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Mika Petkovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Aaron Gil Garcia ITF M25 Sarreguemines · Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Mika Lipp ITF M15 Offenbach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tim Hammes vs Kaspar Mathes?
Our model gives 65% to Tim Hammes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.