Tennis · M15 Curtea de Arges · 04/08, 09:00
Prediction: Federico Valle vs Calin Apostol
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Valle
Calin Apostol
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Valle
4-6 (W-L)
Calin Apostol
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Valle 1474 · Calin Apostol 1488
| Federico Valle | Calin Apostol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federico Valle | Calin Apostol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-10.7 | 8.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 45% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M25 Pitesti |
2-1 | 8-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrea M'chich M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Abdulhamid Mubarak M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Adam Nizar Bouyacoub M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ali Missoum M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Sam Kydd Baumgartner M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 02/06 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Stefan Popovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Calin Apostol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | David Cristian Carteputreda M25 Bacau |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Boris Van Ruiten M25 Bacau |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Matei Marius Partal M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastian Gima M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Ioan Alexandru Teglas M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Matthias Ujvary UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Vardan Manukyan UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Valle vs Calin Apostol?
Our model gives 51% to Calin Apostol, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.