Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 04/08, 12:30
Prediction: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova
Team pages: Marcelina Podlinska · Vendula Valdmannova
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcelina Podlinska
Vendula Valdmannova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marcelina Podlinska
4-6 (W-L)
Vendula Valdmannova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcelina Podlinska 1457 · Vendula Valdmannova 1588
| Marcelina Podlinska | Vendula Valdmannova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vendula Valdmannova (rating 1457 vs 1588).
- Vendula Valdmannova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Vendula Valdmannova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Marcelina Podlinska | Vendula Valdmannova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.4 | 12-9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 53.9% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcelina Podlinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Urszula Radwanska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Klara Kajabova W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Sarah Iliev W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Alice Soulie W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Tena Lukas W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Nadia Affelt W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Vendula Valdmannova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Aliesia Reva W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova?
Our model gives 75% to Vendula Valdmannova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.