Tennis · M15 Frankfurt · 04/08, 17:30
Prediction: Arthur Bonnaud vs Julien Penzlin
Team pages: Julien Penzlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Bonnaud
Julien Penzlin
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Bonnaud
5-5 (W-L)
Julien Penzlin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Bonnaud 1500 · Julien Penzlin 1551
| Arthur Bonnaud | Julien Penzlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julien Penzlin (rating 1500 vs 1551).
Statistics
| Arthur Bonnaud | Julien Penzlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.2 | 12.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Bonnaud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Tristan Berard M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Jules Fabre M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Valentin Faure M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Gil Brahier M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Robin Eldin M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Edoardo Zanada M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Branchetti M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Sebastian Bozemoj M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Ivar Krans M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Filip Gustafsson M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Bonnaud vs Julien Penzlin?
Our model gives 58% to Julien Penzlin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.