Tennis · M15 Curtea de Arges · 05/08, 09:00
Prediction: Yuto Oki vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Team pages: Yuto Oki · Filiberto Fumagalli
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuto Oki
Filiberto Fumagalli
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuto Oki
4-6 (W-L)
Filiberto Fumagalli
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuto Oki 1502 · Filiberto Fumagalli 1542
| Yuto Oki | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1502 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Yuto Oki | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.1 | 9-7.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuto Oki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corban Crowther M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Calin Teodor Stirbu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Mak Mikovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuto Oki vs Filiberto Fumagalli?
Our model gives 55% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.