Tennis · M15 Curtea de Arges · 05/08, 09:00
Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Team pages: Francesco Ferrari · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Ferrari
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1543 · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1582
| Francesco Ferrari | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-7.2 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Maximilian Borisov M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Sebastian Gima M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Ali Missoum M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Chepik M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Ghali Komat M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Zdenek Derkas UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Tomas Zlatohlavek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Soderqvist UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Merse Deli UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez?
Our model gives 53% to Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.