Tennis · W35 Chacabuco · 05/08, 15:00
Prediction: Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Luciana Moyano
Team pages: Maria Florencia Urrutia · Luciana Moyano
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Luciana Moyano
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Florencia Urrutia
5-5 (W-L)
Luciana Moyano
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Florencia Urrutia
0–3
Luciana Moyano
(3 last)
- 20 Mar0-2 7-11L
- 21 Jan1-2 13-16L
- 19 Feb1-2 10-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1494 · Luciana Moyano 1543
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | Luciana Moyano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luciana Moyano (rating 1494 vs 1543).
- Head-to-head: Maria Florencia Urrutia 0–3 Luciana Moyano (3).
- Note: Luciana Moyano makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | Luciana Moyano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.4 | 11.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Maria Florencia Urrutia 0 – 3 Luciana Moyano (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Florencia Urrutia 0–3 Luciana Moyano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 W15 Santiago | 0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 21/01/26 W35 Buenos Aires | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Camila Romero W35 Pergamino |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Luciana Moyano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Fernanda Labrana W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Ana Candiotto W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Luiza Fullana W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Ana Candiotto W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Camila Romero W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Sofia Meabe W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Emily Zornada W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Luciana Moyano?
Our model gives 53% to Maria Florencia Urrutia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.