Tennis · W35 Chacabuco · 06/08, 15:00
Prediction: Lourdes Ayala vs Daria Egorova
Team pages: Lourdes Ayala · Daria Egorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lourdes Ayala
Daria Egorova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lourdes Ayala
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Egorova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lourdes Ayala 1498 · Daria Egorova 1594
| Lourdes Ayala | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1498 vs 1594).
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lourdes Ayala | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.3 | 12.3-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 55% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lourdes Ayala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Daniela Teodoro Souza W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Livia Keller W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Camila Rodero W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Ana Candiotto W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Giorgia Pedone W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lourdes Ayala vs Daria Egorova?
Our model gives 80% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.