Tennis · W35 Chacabuco · 05/08, 15:00
Prediction: Lourdes Ayala vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Team pages: Lourdes Ayala · Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Prediction summary
Winner
Lourdes Ayala
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lourdes Ayala
3-7 (W-L)
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lourdes Ayala 1477 · Valentina Mediorreal Arias 1480
| Lourdes Ayala | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Valentina Mediorreal Arias makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lourdes Ayala | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.3 | 8.5-10 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 51.3% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lourdes Ayala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Daniela Teodoro Souza W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Livia Keller W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Sun Min Ha W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Polina Kaibekova W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Alicia Reichel W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ana Candiotto W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Manuela Ferreira Banietti W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Emery Combs W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Fernanda Labrana Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/04 | Bethania Carolina Bonaguro La Roche Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lourdes Ayala vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias?
Our model gives 58% to Valentina Mediorreal Arias, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.