Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 04/08, 06:00
Prediction: Yuki Mochizuki vs Jaesung Choe
Team pages: Yuki Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Mochizuki
Jaesung Choe
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Jaesung Choe
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Mochizuki 1478 · Jaesung Choe 1494
| Yuki Mochizuki | Jaesung Choe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yuki Mochizuki | Jaesung Choe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.8 | 10.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Charlie Camus M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Jaesung Choe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Matthew Summers M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Mochizuki vs Jaesung Choe?
Our model gives 58% to Yuki Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.