Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 04/08, 06:00
Prediction: Yuta Kikuchi vs Qian Sun
Team pages: Qian Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Kikuchi
Qian Sun
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kikuchi
6-4 (W-L)
Qian Sun
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Kikuchi
2–0
Qian Sun
(2 last)
- 12 Apr2-0 13-8W
- 10 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Kikuchi 1503 · Qian Sun 1473
| Yuta Kikuchi | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yuta Kikuchi 2–0 Qian Sun (2).
- Note: Qian Sun makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Yuta Kikuchi | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 12-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Yuta Kikuchi 2 – 0 Qian Sun (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Kikuchi 2–0 Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Challenger Wuning Qual | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08/25 M15 Wuning | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Charlie Pade M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Yue Xia M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 13/04 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Qian Sun Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Shu Muto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Jie Cui M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Kikuchi vs Qian Sun?
Our model gives 57% to Yuta Kikuchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.