Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 03/08, 14:00
Prediction: Alana Smith vs Yue Yuan
Team pages: Alana Smith · Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Alana Smith
Yue Yuan
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Yue Yuan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alana Smith 1511 · Yue Yuan 1406
| Alana Smith | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alana Smith (rating 1511 vs 1406).
- Alana Smith is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alana Smith | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.2 | 11.3-14.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Daria Gorska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Lea Ma WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Sydney Jara WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Frey W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Min Liu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Harriet Dart French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Mayar Sherif WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Simona Waltert WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/05 | Anna Blinkova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alana Smith vs Yue Yuan?
Our model gives 60% to Yue Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.