Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 03/08, 11:00
Prediction: Aliona Falei vs Urszula Radwanska
Team pages: Aliona Falei · Urszula Radwanska
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliona Falei
Urszula Radwanska
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aliona Falei
7-3 (W-L)
Urszula Radwanska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliona Falei 1553 · Urszula Radwanska 1475
| Aliona Falei | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliona Falei (rating 1553 vs 1475).
- Aliona Falei is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Aliona Falei | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.8 | 10.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliona Falei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kristina Penickova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Elena Micic W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasiia Sorska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petra Sedlackova W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Freya Peet W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliona Falei vs Urszula Radwanska?
Our model gives 75% to Aliona Falei, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.