Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: William Mclennaghan vs Rhys Lawlor
Team pages: William Mclennaghan · Rhys Lawlor
Prediction summary
Winner
William Mclennaghan
Rhys Lawlor
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
William Mclennaghan
5-5 (W-L)
Rhys Lawlor
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Mclennaghan 1499 · Rhys Lawlor 1449
| William Mclennaghan | Rhys Lawlor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours William Mclennaghan (rating 1499 vs 1449).
- Note: William Mclennaghan makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Rhys Lawlor makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| William Mclennaghan | Rhys Lawlor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.5 | 9.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Mclennaghan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Charlie Swaine M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Robert Cowley UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Conor Flynn UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Axel Frechet UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Tyler Stice UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Miles Jones M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alex Jones M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Charlie Pycroft M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Rhys Lawlor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | James Story M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/06 | James McCabe Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Ali Habib M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/03 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Glasgow |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Jelle Sels M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Nathan Trouve M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Mclennaghan vs Rhys Lawlor?
Our model gives 65% to Rhys Lawlor, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.