Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 02/08, 17:00

Prediction: Pablo Perez Ramos vs Thomas Drayton

Team pages: Pablo Perez Ramos

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Pablo Perez Ramos Thomas Drayton
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Perez Ramos 8-2 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWWW
Thomas Drayton 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pablo Perez Ramos 1554 · Thomas Drayton 1460
Pablo Perez RamosThomas Drayton
Our model63%37%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Perez Ramos (rating 1554 vs 1460).
  • Pablo Perez Ramos dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 52.8% break avg.
  • Pablo Perez Ramos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Thomas Drayton makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Pablo Perez RamosThomas Drayton
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.80.8-1.4
Games (G-P)13.4-10.98.5-9.9
Aces6.71.2
Double faults2.54.8
1st serve %70.4%62.9%
Break %52.8%30.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pablo Perez Ramos

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Markus Molder
M15 Dublin
1-2 15-17 L
19/07 Tiago Cacao
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 14-16 L
18/07 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-8 W
17/07 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-8 W
16/07 Diogo Morais
M15 Castelo Branco
2-1 19-15 W
15/07 Rodrigo Fernandes
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-7 W
13/06 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Martos · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
12/06 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
11/06 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
10/06 Tiago Torres
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Thomas Drayton

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 7-11 L
20/05 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Rayen Hermassi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
12/05 Thomas George Brun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/05 Nemanja Malesevic
M25 Nottingham
0-2 10-13 L
03/05 Aaron Jinks
M25 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-1 W
26/04 Louis Hull
M25 Nottingham
1-2 10-12 L
05/02 Luca Staeheli
M15 Zahra · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pablo Perez Ramos vs Thomas Drayton?

Our model gives 78% to Pablo Perez Ramos, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.