Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 02/08, 14:30

Prediction: Julia Adams vs Kaat Coppez

Team pages: Julia Adams · Kaat Coppez

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Julia Adams Kaat Coppez
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Adams 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLL
Kaat Coppez 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julia Adams 1518 · Kaat Coppez 1468
Julia AdamsKaat Coppez
Our model57%43%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Adams (rating 1518 vs 1468).
  • Note: Julia Adams makes many double faults (4.5/match).
  • Note: Kaat Coppez makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Julia AdamsKaat Coppez
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31-1.2
Games (G-P)12.4-12.69.2-9.1
Aces2.31.2
Double faults4.54.6
1st serve %60.5%64.1%
Break %46.5%50.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julia Adams

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Irina Balus
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W100 Amstetten
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Radka Zelnickova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 16-17 L
21/06 Darja Suvirdjonkova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
20/06 Adelina Lachinova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
19/06 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 19-16 W
17/06 Allison Isaacs
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
12/06 Ui Su Jeong
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
11/06 Zeynep Ilker
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Kaat Coppez

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 9-14 L
07/07 Alesia Breaz
W35 Buzau
0-2 9-13 L
06/07 Daria Ioana Pastoric
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
01/07 Cristina Ramos Sierra
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Celia Anson Sanchez
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Nehir Dogan
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Marie Vogt
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/05 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 2-8 L
26/05 Nikola Koprivova
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julia Adams vs Kaat Coppez?

Our model gives 61% to Julia Adams, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.