Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 03/08, 10:00
Prediction: Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowska
Team pages: Amelia Paszun · Weronika Falkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelia Paszun
Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Paszun
3-7 (W-L)
Weronika Falkowska
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amelia Paszun
0–1
Weronika Falkowska
(1 last)
- 18 Jun1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelia Paszun 1451 · Weronika Falkowska 1552
| Amelia Paszun | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1451 vs 1552).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Amelia Paszun 0–1 Weronika Falkowska (1).
- Note: Amelia Paszun makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Amelia Paszun | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.5 | 13-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 57% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Amelia Paszun 0 – 1 Weronika Falkowska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amelia Paszun 0–1 Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 W35 Bolszewo | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelia Paszun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Daria Gorska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska Polish National Championships Women |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna Ozerova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Viktoria Kurz W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Masha Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Weronika Falkowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Deniz Dilek WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Panshina WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Daria Zelinskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Carolina Alves W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 75% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.