Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 02/08, 11:30
Prediction: Marcelina Podlinska vs Urszula Radwanska
Team pages: Marcelina Podlinska · Urszula Radwanska
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcelina Podlinska
Urszula Radwanska
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marcelina Podlinska
4-6 (W-L)
Urszula Radwanska
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcelina Podlinska 1487 · Urszula Radwanska 1427
| Marcelina Podlinska | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcelina Podlinska (rating 1487 vs 1427).
- Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Marcelina Podlinska | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.6 | 9.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | 59% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcelina Podlinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Klara Kajabova W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Sarah Iliev W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Alice Soulie W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Tena Lukas W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Nadia Affelt W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasiia Sorska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petra Sedlackova W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Freya Peet W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/03 | Katerina Tsygourova W50 Helsinki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcelina Podlinska vs Urszula Radwanska?
Our model gives 52% to Urszula Radwanska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.