Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 02/08, 11:30
Prediction: Alana Smith vs Daria Gorska
Team pages: Alana Smith · Daria Gorska
Prediction summary
Winner
Alana Smith
Daria Gorska
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Daria Gorska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alana Smith 1480 · Daria Gorska 1480
| Alana Smith | Daria Gorska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alana Smith | Daria Gorska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 9.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Lea Ma WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Sydney Jara WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Frey W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Min Liu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Lisa Zaar WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Daria Gorska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Amelia Paszun W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Weronika Ewald Polish National Championships (W) |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Weronika Falkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alisa Yakimakho W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Kornelia Krzesniak W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Oceane Babel W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alana Smith vs Daria Gorska?
Our model gives 70% to Alana Smith, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.