Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 02/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Nika Hurkacz
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Nika Hurkacz
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
4-6 (W-L)
Nika Hurkacz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1549 · Nika Hurkacz 1504
| Lia Karatancheva | Nika Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lia Karatancheva (rating 1549 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Nika Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.4 | 10.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Nika Hurkacz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Salma Djoubri W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Martina Okalova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Victoria Bosio W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Anastasija Adeikyte W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Oliwia Drozdz W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Nice |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Keisija Berzina W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Emma Fulvia Wiesenfeld W35 Nice |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 14/04 | Julie Myatovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Nika Hurkacz?
Our model gives 72% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.