Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 03/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas
Team pages: Gabriela Knutson · Sofia Costoulas
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriela Knutson
Sofia Costoulas
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriela Knutson
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Costoulas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriela Knutson
0–1
Sofia Costoulas
(1 last)
- 02 Apr1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriela Knutson 1484 · Sofia Costoulas 1495
| Gabriela Knutson | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gabriela Knutson 0–1 Sofia Costoulas (1).
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Sofia Costoulas makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Gabriela Knutson | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.6 | 11.2-11 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Gabriela Knutson 0 – 1 Sofia Costoulas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriela Knutson 0–1 Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/25 W50 Nantes | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shuai Zhang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Irem Kurt WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Valentina Ryser W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Nadia Podoroska W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas?
Our model gives 58% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.