Tennis · W75 Lexington · 31/07, 21:30
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Kylie Collins
Team pages: Sara Saito · Kylie Collins
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Kylie Collins
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
5-5 (W-L)
Kylie Collins
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1535 · Kylie Collins 1542
| Sara Saito | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (7.8/match).
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.2 | 10.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 7.8 | 8.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Erika Sema W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Luciana Perry W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Yuki Naito W75 Granby |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Sema W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Kylie Collins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Malaika Rapolu W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Ena Koike W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Slama W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaeda Daniel W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Kylie Collins?
Our model gives 55% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.