Tennis · W75 Lexington · 30/07, 20:30
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Erika Sema
Team pages: Sara Saito · Erika Sema
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Erika Sema
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
5-5 (W-L)
Erika Sema
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Saito
1–1
Erika Sema
(2 last)
- 24 Jun0-2 9-13L
- 05 Nov2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1514 · Erika Sema 1487
| Sara Saito | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (7.3/match).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.2 | 10.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Sara Saito 1 – 1 Erika Sema (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Saito 1–1 Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 W35 Taipei | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/11/25 ITF W35 Hamamatsu | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Luciana Perry W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Yuki Naito W75 Granby |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Sema W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Erika Sema
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Kelly Keller W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Avery Alexander W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Naomi Xu W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Saito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Eunhye Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Evialina Laskevich W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Erika Sema?
Our model gives 68% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.