Tennis · WTA Memphis · 31/07, 19:30
Prediction: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns
Team pages: Elvina Kalieva · Peyton Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Elvina Kalieva
Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Elvina Kalieva
4-6 (W-L)
Peyton Stearns
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elvina Kalieva
1–0
Peyton Stearns
(1 last)
- 29 Jul2-1 15-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elvina Kalieva 1497 · Peyton Stearns 1528
| Elvina Kalieva | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elvina Kalieva 1–0 Peyton Stearns (1).
- Note: Elvina Kalieva makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Elvina Kalieva | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.7 | 10.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Elvina Kalieva 1 – 0 Peyton Stearns (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elvina Kalieva 1–0 Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/22 ITF W25 Dallas | 2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Kayla Cross W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ella Mcdonald Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Snigur French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sofia Kenin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Maria Sakkari WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns?
Our model gives 64% to Peyton Stearns, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.