Tennis · WTA Memphis · 31/07, 18:00
Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Caty McNally
Team pages: Kristina Liutova · Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Liutova
Caty McNally
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Liutova
7-3 (W-L)
Caty McNally
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Liutova 1606 · Caty McNally 1534
| Kristina Liutova | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1606 vs 1534).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Liutova | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8 | 11.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Maya Joint WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 55% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.