Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 31/07, 13:00

Prediction: Jenny Lim vs Francesca Pace

Team pages: Jenny Lim · Francesca Pace

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Jenny Lim Francesca Pace
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jenny Lim 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWW
Francesca Pace 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jenny Lim 1560 · Francesca Pace 1449
Jenny LimFrancesca Pace
Our model65%35%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jenny Lim (rating 1560 vs 1449).
  • Jenny Lim is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Jenny Lim makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Jenny LimFrancesca Pace
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.70.8-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-8.68.6-10
Aces0.91.7
Double faults4.24.2
1st serve %62.7%56.2%
Break %50%48.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jenny Lim

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Gabriela Ce
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 15-14 W
28/07 Yasmine Mansouri
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Salma Djoubri
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-8 W
10/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 The Hague
0-2 5-12 L
09/07 Diletta Cherubini
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Martina Colmegna
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Rikke De Koning
W75 The Hague
2-0 13-9 W
05/07 Madelief Hageman
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Francesca Pace

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Tatiana Pieri
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Martina Trevisan
W75 Cordenons
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Beatrice Ricci
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Eva Vedder
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/07 Pia Lovric
W35 Buzau
0-2 2-8 L
02/07 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
01/07 Dune Vaissaud
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/06 Victoria Bosio
WTA Modena · Clay
1-2 15-18 L
04/06 Dalila Spiteri
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 3-9 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jenny Lim vs Francesca Pace?

Our model gives 58% to Jenny Lim, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.