Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 31/07, 14:30

Prediction: Martha Matoula vs Irina Balus

Team pages: Martha Matoula · Irina Balus

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Martha Matoula Irina Balus
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Martha Matoula 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLW
Irina Balus 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martha Matoula 1520 · Irina Balus 1591
Martha MatoulaIrina Balus
Our model40%60%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Irina Balus (rating 1520 vs 1591).

Statistics

Martha MatoulaIrina Balus
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11.4-10.812-7.2
Aces0.80.5
Double faults2.62.9
1st serve %60.9%63%
Break %46.6%63.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martha Matoula

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Valentina Ivanov
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 13-8 W
29/07 Amelie Van Impe
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 14-11 W
22/07 Gabriela Ce
W75 Cordenons
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Maria Garcia Cid
W75 Cordenons
2-1 18-14 W
13/07 Elena Micic
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
06/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
21/06 Selena Janicijevic
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
20/06 Berfu Cengiz
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
19/06 Gina Feistel
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
18/06 Iva Ivanova
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Irina Balus

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Tilwith Di Girolami
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Julia Adams
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
27/07 Valentina Ivanov
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Klara Veldman
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-3 W
21/07 Angela Fita Boluda
W100 Amstetten
0-2 8-13 L
20/07 Stefania Bojica
W100 Amstetten
2-1 18-12 W
19/07 Tayisiya Morderger
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Anna Siskova
W75 Olomouc
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Eva Marie Voracek
W75 Olomouc
2-1 17-12 W
14/07 Anna Kmiecik
W75 Olomouc
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martha Matoula vs Irina Balus?

Our model gives 59% to Irina Balus, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.