Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 31/07, 12:30
Prediction: Karl Friberg vs Petr Nesterov
Team pages: Karl Friberg · Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Friberg
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Friberg
5-5 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Friberg 1512 · Petr Nesterov 1551
| Karl Friberg | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karl Friberg | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.8 | 12.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikola Slavic M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Ole Bredschneijder M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Lewie Lane M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Friberg vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 69% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.