Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 30/07, 11:30

Prediction: Aristotelis Thanos vs Nikola Slavic

Team pages: Aristotelis Thanos · Nikola Slavic

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Aristotelis Thanos Nikola Slavic
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aristotelis Thanos 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLLW
Nikola Slavic 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aristotelis Thanos 1543 · Nikola Slavic 1492
Aristotelis ThanosNikola Slavic
Our model57%43%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aristotelis Thanos (rating 1543 vs 1492).
  • Aristotelis Thanos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Aristotelis Thanos makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Aristotelis ThanosNikola Slavic
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.80.9-1.2
Games (G-P)12.2-9.39.5-10.5
Aces3.24.9
Double faults5.93.3
1st serve %71.6%67.4%
Break %51.3%32.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aristotelis Thanos

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Fons Van Sambeek
M25 The Hague
0-2 8-12 L
13/06 Niels McDonald
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
12/06 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
11/06 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
10/06 John Hallquist Lithen
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/05 Denis Klok
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
29/05 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-10 W
28/05 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Mark Laubic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Nikola Slavic

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-8 W
12/07 Miguel Damas
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Finn Bass
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
03/07 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Store
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Daniel Tazabekov
M15 Store
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Matic Dimic
M15 Store
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Nik Mikovic
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Stepan Baum
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Karl Friberg
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/05 Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
M25 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aristotelis Thanos vs Nikola Slavic?

Our model gives 71% to Aristotelis Thanos, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.