Tennis · W15 Astana · 31/07, 08:00
Prediction: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Daria Zelinskaya
Team pages: Asylzhan Arystanbekova · Daria Zelinskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Daria Zelinskaya
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Zelinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1523 · Daria Zelinskaya 1481
| Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Daria Zelinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asylzhan Arystanbekova (rating 1523 vs 1481).
- Note: Asylzhan Arystanbekova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Daria Zelinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.6 | 10.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 54% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Sonal Patil W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Satima Toregen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/05 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Daria Zelinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Jiangxue Han W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Yanan Hou W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Anastasia Lepskaya W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Daria Zelinskaya?
Our model gives 55% to Daria Zelinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.