Tennis · W75 Lexington · 30/07, 20:30
Prediction: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley
Team pages: Lexington Reed · Fiona Crawley
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexington Reed
Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington Reed
9-1 (W-L)
Fiona Crawley
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexington Reed 1564 · Fiona Crawley 1518
| Lexington Reed | Fiona Crawley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington Reed (rating 1564 vs 1518).
- Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Lexington Reed | Fiona Crawley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.5 | 12.2-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Juliana Lucia Diianni W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hanna Chang W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eunhye Lee W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zimora Mcknight W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Fiona Crawley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Carolina Gomez W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Himeno Sakatsume W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Julia Riera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Himeno Sakatsume Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/04 | Daria Egorova W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Victoria Hu W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/02 | Martyna Kubka W75 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley?
Our model gives 62% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.