Tennis · M15 Dublin · 30/07, 14:00
Prediction: Michael Agwi vs Jules Leroux
Team pages: Michael Agwi
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Agwi
Jules Leroux
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Agwi
4-6 (W-L)
Jules Leroux
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Agwi 1454 · Jules Leroux 1517
| Michael Agwi | Jules Leroux | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jules Leroux (rating 1454 vs 1517).
- Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Michael Agwi | Jules Leroux | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.7 | 10-8.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Agwi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sydney Zick M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Jannik Soetebier M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Antoine Ghibaudo M25 Toulouse |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Richard Antoni M25 Toulouse |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Loann Massard M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Vincent Reisach M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Jules Leroux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ben Weintraub M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | David Doherty M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/07 | Cian McDonnell M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Stiles Brockett M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Valtteri Tuukkanen M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Agwi vs Jules Leroux?
Our model gives 54% to Michael Agwi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.