Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 30/07, 12:30
Prediction: Barbora Palicova vs Federica Urgesi
Team pages: Barbora Palicova · Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbora Palicova
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Palicova
5-5 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbora Palicova 1483 · Federica Urgesi 1527
| Barbora Palicova | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Urgesi (rating 1483 vs 1527).
- Note: Barbora Palicova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Barbora Palicova | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10 | 12.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 60% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbora Palicova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Francesca Parcelli W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Martina Colmegna WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Martina Colmegna WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Amandine Hesse WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Martina Okalova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Diana Martynov W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbora Palicova vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 54% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.