Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 31/07, 10:00

Prediction: Katerina Tsygourova vs Barbora Palicova

Team pages: Katerina Tsygourova · Barbora Palicova

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Katerina Tsygourova Barbora Palicova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Tsygourova 10-0 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Barbora Palicova 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katerina Tsygourova 1581 · Barbora Palicova 1492
Katerina TsygourovaBarbora Palicova
Our model63%37%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Tsygourova (rating 1581 vs 1492).
  • Katerina Tsygourova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Barbora Palicova makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Katerina TsygourovaBarbora Palicova
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.51.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.5-7.311.3-9.5
Aces1.41.1
Double faults2.15.5
1st serve %68.2%63%
Break %62.9%51.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katerina Tsygourova

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Nagi Hanatani
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-2 W
27/07 Sina Herrmann
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-3 W
22/07 Francesca Curmi
W75 Cordenons
1-2 12-17 L
21/07 Arianna Zucchini
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-7 W
20/07 Justine Bretnacher
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Beatrice Ricci
W35 Torino
1-2 12-13 L
17/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Torino
2-1 16-12 W
16/07 Yara Bartashevich
W35 Torino
2-0 13-6 W
15/07 Marie Weckerle
W35 Torino
2-0 12-6 W

Barbora Palicova

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Federica Urgesi
W75 Hechingen
2-1 14-11 W
29/07 Francesca Parcelli
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Mai Hontama
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 10-12 L
14/07 Martina Colmegna
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
12/07 Martina Colmegna
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
06/07 Amandine Hesse
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/06 Weronika Ewald
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
1-2 16-13 L
25/06 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Martina Okalova
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katerina Tsygourova vs Barbora Palicova?

Our model gives 52% to Katerina Tsygourova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.