Tennis · W35 Pergamino · 30/07, 17:30
Prediction: Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele vs Francesca Mattioli
Team pages: Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele · Francesca Mattioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Francesca Mattioli
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
5-5 (W-L)
Francesca Mattioli
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 1523 · Francesca Mattioli 1560
| Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.1 | 11-7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 66.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Romina Ccuno W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Victoria Bosio W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Camila Romero W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marjorie Souza W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alisa Danilova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mia Popovic W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Pietra Rivoli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriela Carvalho Bettoni W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele vs Francesca Mattioli?
Our model gives 52% to Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.