Tennis · W35 Pergamino · 31/07, 17:30
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Giorgia Pedone
Team pages: Francesca Mattioli · Giorgia Pedone
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Giorgia Pedone
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
8-2 (W-L)
Giorgia Pedone
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1584 · Giorgia Pedone 1494
| Francesca Mattioli | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Mattioli (rating 1584 vs 1494).
- Francesca Mattioli is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-6.6 | 9-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0 |
| Double faults | 6 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 71.2% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alisa Danilova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mia Popovic W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Pietra Rivoli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriela Carvalho Bettoni W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Giorgia Pedone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Marjorie Souza W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Giorgia Pedone?
Our model gives 62% to Giorgia Pedone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.