Tennis · W35 Pergamino · 30/07, 16:00
Prediction: Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Daria Egorova
Team pages: Valentina Mediorreal Arias · Daria Egorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Daria Egorova
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Egorova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Mediorreal Arias 1482 · Daria Egorova 1608
| Valentina Mediorreal Arias | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1482 vs 1608).
- Daria Egorova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Mediorreal Arias makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Mediorreal Arias | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.2 | 13.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.5% | 59% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Polina Kaibekova W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Alicia Reichel W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ana Candiotto W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Manuela Ferreira Banietti W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Emery Combs W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Fernanda Labrana Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/04 | Bethania Carolina Bonaguro La Roche Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/04 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Camila Rodero W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Ana Candiotto W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Giorgia Pedone W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Luciana Moyano W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Daria Egorova?
Our model gives 81% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.