Tennis · W35 Pergamino · 30/07, 17:30
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Luna Maria Cinalli
Team pages: Lucciana Perez Alarcon · Luna Maria Cinalli
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Luna Maria Cinalli
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Luna Maria Cinalli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1598 · Luna Maria Cinalli 1474
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Luna Maria Cinalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucciana Perez Alarcon (rating 1598 vs 1474).
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Luna Maria Cinalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.1 | 9.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 46.3% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Marina Bulbarella W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Julia Riera W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 24/07 | Pietra Rivoli W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Francesca Mattioli W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Camila Romero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Luna Maria Cinalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Berta Bonardi W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Sina Herrmann W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Julie Struplova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Valentina Steiner W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/05 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ana Grubor W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Kelly Keller W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/05 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Luna Maria Cinalli?
Our model gives 74% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.